Still open to much lower grain prices

FOR TUESDAY: (6/12) Another USDA report day and they are often turning points. That’s particularly so this time with very oversold conditions and cycles suggesting a recovery into June 18. There‘s reason to take profit on shorts and hedges and then we will re-evaluate by June 18. We’re still open to much lower prices, as…


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Grain recovery into at least June 18 likely

FOR MONDAY: (6/11) Oversold conditions from last week should lead to a recovery into at least June 18 for grains. Short-covering should start sometime by Monday night at the latest, and the trade is concerned about the USDA report on Tuesday, which has to have pleasant surprises given oversold conditions.


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Beans hit extended target of 973

FOR FRIDAY: (6/8) Would think that end of the week short-covering might set in ahead of the USDA report on Tuesday. Beans hit extended target of 973 and corn not far from lower target. Wheat failed at a key number near 537 and came off quite a bit. We always worry about Friday hedging pressure…


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Grains looking lower into Friday

FOR THURSDAY: (6/7) Thursday and Friday could be lower, and patterns to the downside don’t look complete. Still, charts look terrible and the chances for new highs will depend on whether dry comes with hot; our forecast has been for above normal rains this year. The outlook the next few weeks is not supporting hot…


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Expecting short-covering on Wednesday

FOR WEDNESDAY: (6/6) We’re expecting short-covering on Wednesday but Thursday and Friday could be lower, and patterns to the downside don’t look complete. Still, charts look terrible and the chances for new highs will really depend on whether dry comes with hot; our forecast has been for above normal rains this year. The outlook the…


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Charts look terrible

FOR TUESDAY: (6/5) We’re open to staying short another day but not expecting that much more if you’re still short. Expecting that above-normal temperatures for June will start short-covering soon and may keep the market up for a bit from oversold conditions. Still, charts look terrible and the chances for new highs will really depend…


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Climax low for grains in next few days

FOR MONDAY: (6/4) Cooler weather the next few days may dampen drought fears even if temperatures are scheduled to go up later. Still, traders go with what they tangibly feel so the market should keep eroding but reach a climax low in the next few days for grains.


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Grain cycles look higher on Friday

FOR FRIDAY: (6/1)  Grain cycles look higher on Friday with lower action into Tuesday of next week. Downward patterns didn’t complete and we’ll hold shorts a few more days. Going to leave markets alone before the next wild weather report emerges – or not. First of the month fund buying should kick in and lift…


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Grains still look lower on Thursday

FOR THURSDAY: (5/31) Grains still look lower on Thursday with short-covering possible o Friday. We still have to do research on next week but the market looks like it could have a sharp rebound if new weather comes into play so stay on guard.


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Cattle looking up into COF

FOR THURSDAY: (5/24 no change) We’re concerned about thinning holiday conditions already in the cattle markets, and it’s always difficult to take a grain position out over a long holiday weekend. We have a bias toward lower grains into Thursday with Friday maybe being position squaring. Cattle are already looking ahead toward the COF report…


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