Oversold status for grains

FOR THURSDAY (7/21) We failed to get a grain bounce and we have been patient with July but the failure is really bad news with very oversold conditions. Forecasts showing less intense heat next week sent corn and soybeans lower on Wednesday, with corn setting contract lows in all months and soybeans tumbling near midday…


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Patterns suggest very oversold conditions for grains

FOR WEDNESDAY: (7/20) We warned you how these bullish forecasts can quickly change. The NWS’s latest weekly and 6- to 10-day (July 24-28) outlooks indicate this week’s hot weather of 90 and 100-degree highs will be brief, likely lasting through Friday, with next week’s highs expected in the 80s. Also, rain last week and through…


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Grains due for a bounce?

FOR TUESDAY: (7/19) I suspect that markets are oversold enough that we’ll get a bounce if we can get in from lower levels at pattern completions. Corn, soybean and wheat closed higher on Monday as traders await the severity and duration of this week’s Midwest heat wave. For the Midwest, forecasts put 100-degree highs from…


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Grains look lower next few sessions

FOR MONDAY: (7/18) Rains last week focused south of I-80. That’s expected to change into early next week, according to maps for the next seven days, as milder temperatures begin to give way to heat from the Southwest. Official 6- to 10 and 8- to 14-day forecasts out yesterday show the warmer and drier pattern…


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Weather sparks bean reversal

FOR FRIDAY: (7/15) We warned you how fickle these forecasts are how they can quickly turn. Soybeans made a sharp turn lower at midday and closed sharply lower as new forecasts apparently favor rain next week for the Midwest crop and indicated the heat wave then may not last long. Previous hot, dry forecasts for…


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Corn pollination may finish before heat arrives

FOR THURSDAY:  (7/14) Forecasts put 90 to 100 degree temperatures in key soybean areas next week, which could hurt crop development. Corn closed higher, although gains were pared late, on lingering support from Tuesday when USDA raised this year’s exports, partly because of an expected smaller crop in Brazil. Soft red winter wheat finished about…


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Ag weather trumps crop report

FOR WEDNESDAY: (7/13) Not sure what we learned from the reaction to Tuesdays reports other than the funds will buy overbought conditions if they think there is any hint of prices going up. We’re open to higher prices into Friday and if the weather changes it looks like the market could dump early next week….


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More corn ending stocks?

FOR TUESDAY: (7/12) The 6- to 10-day forecast (July 16-20) shows hot, but seasonal moisture for the Midwest. Soybeans last week rated 71% good/excellent. On Tuesday, the USDA releases the monthly WASDE report with the trade largely expecting an increase in 2016/2017 corn ending stocks. Tuesday’s WASDE report is expected to raise 2016/2017 soybean ending…


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Fortucast Ag Markets Overview

FOR MONDAY: (7/11) Oversold conditions on Friday led to short-covering and weather reports change every 12 hours. For now, the trade wanted to take profits but cycle seem lower Sunday-Tuesday for grains unless we get some new weather forecasts turning hotter and drier. Meats still look under pressure early next week but may do some…


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