Positive cycles peak overnight for grains

FOR THURSDAY: (8/4) Positive cycles peak overnight for grains and meats but possible that grains could come back into the close. We continue to be open to one more push lower into Monday and we aren’t quite willing to top-pick for shorts until Thursday night or early Friday. Cattle had a nice run up on…


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Grains due for a countertrend bounce

FOR WEDNESDAY: (8/3) Still like the long side of meats for Wednesday and also grains for a counter-trend bounce. Macro data is centered on US employment numbers on Friday. Soybeans closed lower for the second day on Tuesday as weather forecasts show mild conditions the next two weeks and USDA late on Monday said corn…


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Breakdown to lower levels on Tuesday

FOR TUESDAY: (8/2) Warm and wet conditions are like a greenhouse—not fun to live in but great for growing. Beans are losing their fear premium. While temperatures turn warmer into mid-August, storms continue to rumble across the Corn Belt with maps for the next seven days showing coverage in most areas. Official 6- to 10…


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Oversold grains likely to turn seasonally higher next week

FOR MONDAY: (8/1) Hot weather is expected early next week in the western Midwest with temperatures in the mid- to high 90s forecast Monday through Wednesday in Nebraska and Iowa, and in the 80s to low 90s elsewhere. The 6-to 10-day outlook (Aug. 3-7) is hot and dry for the western Midwest and hot for…


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29-day cycle might allow a recovery for grains

FOR FRIDAY: (7/29) Month-end position-squaring by funds and the 29-day cycle might allow a recovery for grains, and usually they are higher after August 1 for a few weeks. Temperatures in the mid-90s are forecast Monday through Wednesday in Nebraska and Iowa, and in the 80s to low 90s elsewhere. The 6-to 10-day outlook (Aug….


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Weather threat vs. month-end profit-taking

FOR THURSDAY: (7/28) The 6-to 10-day outlook (Aug. 1-5) favors about an 80% chance for above-normal temperatures near the Great Lakes then and 70% chance for the remainder of the Midwest. That forecast has normal to above-normal chances for rain then. Besides weather, beans were also boosted a bit by China. We’re at odds between…


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Beans project 990 or 999 before the next sale

FOR WEDNESDAY (7/27) Winter wheat finished down 11 to 14 cents to pull corn down about 2 cents. A big U.S. harvest and talk this week that Russia may have its biggest wheat crop in more than 20 years weighed on wheat. Eyes are on North Dakota, where storms this week could be harmful to…


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Bearish grain cycles this week

FOR TUESDAY (7/26) Weekly progress reports were bearish for corn and beans and we have noted that cycles are bearish this week. We are stuck with very oversold conditions and no risk/reward for selling unless prices can go higher. The wet conditions added to a bearish mood that developed following last week’s 30-day outlook that…


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Higher meat cycles into Wednesday

FOR MONDAY (7/25) Profit-taking finally set in at the close for grains but not after major capitulation. Key support for corn held at 333 and beans went through our lowest target of 976. The latest 6- to 10-day (July 26-30) outlook also lacks extreme heat for the western Midwest and has above-average chances for rain….


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Lower support targets near for cattle, hogs

FOR FRIDAY (7/22) Thursdays are often lower for grains and even with hot temperatures, the market did not disappoint. This week will be hot with highs of 100 degrees or more in Nebraska and western Iowa and mid-90s elsewhere in the Midwest. But the heat is expected to ease after this weekend with highs dropping into…


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